Iran War Strategic Analysis

Interactive assessment of NATO military posture, industrial constraints, and alliance dynamics based on Western government sources and think tank analyses

Strategic Layers

All Strategic Elements

NATO Command & Operations

Iranian Asymmetric Pressure

Munitions & Industrial Strain

European Strategic Autonomy

Multi-Theater Contingency Risk

Supply Chains & Logistics

Key Metrics

Interceptor Consumption Rate

800+

PAC-3 MSE interceptors used in first week vs. 620 annual production capacity (2025)

Cost Asymmetry Ratio

1:200

$20K Shahed drone vs. $4M Patriot interceptor

Replenishment Timeline

12-18 mo

Critical systems production bottleneck duration

Core Strategic Shifts

From "Command of the Skies" to "Command of the Reload"
Tactical superiority remains, but industrial endurance now determines strategic outcomes

Cost Asymmetry Vulnerability
Low-cost drone/missile saturation exposes Western inventory limitations designed for high-end, low-volume warfare

Political Reliability Concerns
European anxiety about conditional U.S. support during simultaneous crises may outweigh technical weapons performance concerns

Interaction Guide:
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• Details: Click markers or highlighted regions
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• Context: Dashed lines show strategic dependencies and pressure pathways

Source: Western government analyses, NATO communications, RUSI, CSIS

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